Buccaneers at Packers (-3)
Both games are incredibly difficult to predict but I’m leaning Green Bay here. The Bucs have played the Saints well all year so I’m not completely sold on their secondary improvement. It’s been their biggest weakness all year and Green Bay have been incredibly efficient passing the ball all season ever since their loss in Tampa.
With no Antonio Brown and Mike Evans stuck against Jaire Alexander, it’s likely that Godwin and the tight ends will have to be the big players in the passing game and I can’t see Tampa winning unless they establish the run. The Packers definitely give up a lot of yards on the ground so if Fournette and Jones can get rolling then Tampa have a big chance of pulling this one off.
What the Packers will do on offense is interesting for me as I believe they’ll try and establish their triple threat rushing attack even on this number 1 rush D. Davante Adams has proven himself to matchup proof and against a weaker secondary I can see him scoring and possibly getting 150 yards receiving in this one. I like Green Bay to score at least 28 points here and look to have some long drives.
Overall, I like Green Bay to squeak a win here. Their defense feels a little stronger than Tampa in this matchup with their bend but don’t break style and they feel a little more complete than a Tampa team that have a lot of big names but have some clear holes still. Home advantage will make the difference in the end.
Packers 28-24 Buccaneers
Bills at Chiefs (-3)
This game strongly hinges on how fit Mahomes is. I also think that one of the teams will have to establish some sort of a run game and I’m a little more confident in the Chiefs to be able to do that.
For the Chiefs, I like Kelce to have a huge game here since Buffalo have had a few issues against tight ends this year and Hill could also have a nice day since Marquise Brown got a solid amount of yard last week on this secondary. Maybe this will be the day we see a couple of 50 yard bomb touchdowns provided that Mahomes is fit. Both teams have been solid at protecting the QB lately so I’m not expecting a lot of sacks for either QB as much as the Bills will want to hit Mahomes while he’s somewhat hurt.
The Bills passing game is a bit of a juggernaut and the Chiefs D gives up a lot of yards so I can see the Bills doing a lot on offense even with their struggling running game. Singletary is still a big threat out of the backfield given that Chubb could’ve had a few big plays in the passing game last week if he was able to catch the ball and Diggs is proving matchup proof so he’ll have another big game today as well.
I’m actually leaning towards the Bills here. I’ve kept feeling that Kansas have another gear to find but it never really materialised last week and the game felt too close. I feel their luck is going to run out at some point and if I’m a Bills fan, I’d actually be somewhat expecting a win here given KC are as weak as they’re going to be with a banged up Mahomes.
Bills 35-31 Chiefs