Premier League Predictions – Round 4

Southampton vs Man United

Odds: Southampton – 10/3 Draw – 3/1 United – 3/4

My Prediction:

United managed to turn around their poor form against Liverpool last week in a game where Ten Haag got things spot on tactically. But this will be a different test for United. Southampton have started to get the hang of finding the net and Che Adams being in form and an aerial threat may spell trouble for the United defence. Southampton still look dodgy at the back but with this new found resilience they have had over the last few weeks, they can get a draw here.

Southampton 2-2 Man United

Brentford vs Everton

Odds: Brentford – 1/1  Draw – 5/2 Everton – 11/4

My Prediction:

The Everton vs Forest game last week was a really poor affair and though Everton had slightly the better of the game, it was still a bad performance and I can see them losing here. Brentford have been pretty clinical in front of goal so far this season and though they gave up a lot of chances last week, they should be more comfortable at home against an attack that has been toothless to start the season. I expect Brentford to win this 2-1.

Brentford 2-1 Everton

Brighton vs Leeds

Odds: Brighton – 10/11 Draw – 14/5 Leeds – 14/5

My Prediction:

2 in form and exciting sides go head to head here. Brighton have been excellent so far this season and if they can hold this form, they can definitely push for 6th or 7th this season. Leeds meanwhile have also been a revelation under Marsch and if they keep things up, they can aim more for a upper midtable finish than think about a relegation battle. In terms of this matchup, I’m going to take a draw, both sides haven’t given up too many big chances and I can see a scenario where Leeds score first, but tire and let Brighton get an equaliser for a 1-1 draw.

Brighton 1-1 Leeds

Chelsea vs Leicester

Odds: Chelsea – 2/5 Draw – 4/1 Leicester – 6/1

My Prediction:

For a team that have had issues in front of goal like Chelsea, this is a fairly ideal matchup. Leicester have a really poor defence at the moment and I imagine the pace of Chelsea’s forwards will give them problems. I can also see Leicester giving Chelsea issues at the back and I do expect them to score, but it won’t be enough to get a result in this one.

Chelsea 3-1 Leicester

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Odds: Liverpool – 1/10 Draw – 9/1 Bournemouth – 25/1

My Prediction:

Liverpool are obviously a mess at the moment, they lack a quality passer in midfield and their defending has been nothing short of lazy this year. I do expect them to struggle in the near future but not in this game. Bournemouth don’t have the pace to catch Liverpool on the counter and I don’t think they have the quality to park the bus successfully for an entire 90 minutes. I expect Liverpool to win comfortably.

Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth

Man City vs Crystal Palace

Odds: Man City – 2/11 Draw – 13/2 Palace – 12/1

My Prediction:

Palace historically have a good record against Man City and this may be a good time to play them. The injury to Nathan Ake will weaken them more at the back than most people expect and Palace have a good defence which should have some success against City. I’m going to go for a minor upset here and say Palace nick a draw here, they’ll pose a threat on the counter and may be hard for City to break down.

Man City 1-1 Palace

Arsenal vs Fulham

Odds: Arsenal – 3/10 Draw – 19/4 Fulham – 8/1

My Prediction:

Arsenal have impressed so far this season but this may be the toughest test they come up against so far. Fulham have attacked really effectively so far this season and have created plenty of chances. That being said, I can see Arsenal grinding out a win here purely because they are at home and that their forwards are all in form, but I wouldn’t be stunned at all if Fulham could get a result out of this one.

Arsenal 2-1 Fulham

Aston Villa vs West Ham

Odds: Villa – 13/10 Draw – 12/5 West Ham – 21/10

My Prediction:

On current form, these are 2 of the worst sides in the league. Both teams feel like they have something fundamentally wrong behind the scenes. Villa are really struggling at the back and seem a bit lazy in that aspect while West Ham seem to be struggling in all aspects of the game, I expect them to improve soon but for now, I can see this being a very ugly 1-1 draw.

Villa 1-1 West Ham

Wolves vs Newcastle

Odds: Wolves – 17/10 Draw – 23/10 Newcastle – 17/10

My Prediction:

I liked what I saw from Wolves last week, they definitely still need to invest in a clinical striker but the performance was much better and they can start to turn things around. Newcastle had one of the likely games of the season last week against City and they clearly will offer an attacking threat against anyone. That being said, I’m going to take Wolves for what may seem like an upset, they’ve been more solid at the back in the last couple of weeks and they can score against a defence that gave away 3 goals last week.

Wolves 2-0 Newcastle

Back Wolves at 17/10

Notts Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur

Odds: Forest – 6/1 Draw – 18/5 Spurs – 4/9

My Prediction:

This will be a really tough games for Spurs. Forest will be up for this as this is the first big side they’ll play at home this season and I haven’t been convinced by Spurs so far this season. They struggled to create chances last week and if they start the game like they did last week, I can see them getting punished by a Forest side that will be playing with a lot of passion. That being said, Spurs do seem to find a way to get a result so I’m going to go for a draw here.

Forest 1-1 Spurs

Back Forest or draw in the double chance market at 13/8

Results last week:

4/10 correct results 1 correct score

1 win 1 loss 1 void in the 3 bets +1.1 pts

Results so far this season:

13/30 correct results

+4.6 pts betting

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