Premier League Gameweek 9 Predictions

Arsenal vs Tottenham

Odds: Arsenal – 21/20 Draw – 11/4 Spurs 23/10

My Prediction:

I’m taking a draw here. Arsenal have played well at home but have struggled to keep clean sheets and have needed to scrape home against Villa and Fulham. Spurs are better than those sides so I can see them getting some sort of result and they’re unbeaten away from home this season. I don’t have full faith in either side defensively at the moment so I’ll take this as a 2-2 draw.

Arsenal 2-2 Spurs

Bournemouth vs Brentford

Odds: Bournemouth – 23/10 Draw – 12/5 Brentford – 6/5

My Prediction:

Bournemouth have been solid against teams outside of the top 6 and given they’re a physical side, they should match up well with Brentford who also are quite physical, Brentford have been ok away from home this season, they tend to score but they aren’t brilliant defensively and haven’t won away yet. I can see this being a scrappy game and ending in a 1-1 draw.

Bournemouth 1-1 Brentford

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Odds: Palace – 10/3 Draw – 13/5 Chelsea – 5/6

My Prediction:

Chelsea’s away form is definitely a cause for concern but I thought their attacking players played well during the international break and Palace’s home form has been steady more than spectacular and they’re struggling to keep clean sheets at home. I like Chelsea to score a couple of goals here and win this one fairly comfortably with Mount and Havertz being ones to watch.

Palace 0-2 Chelsea

Fulham vs Newcastle

Odds: Fulham – 21/10 Draw – 12/5 Newcastle – 13/10

My Prediction:

Newcastle have played well so far this season but have struggled to win games. I wasn’t impressed with their performance against Bournemouth and I can see them losing here. Fulham have been excellent at home so far this season and given they seem to be having more joy infront of goal than Newcastle, this looks a good opportunity to back an upset win.

Fulham 2-1 Newcastle

Liverpool vs Brighton

Odds: Liverpool – 1/3 Draw – 17/4 Brighton – 8/1

My Prediction:

Liverpool feel like they’re ready to turn a corner now. They looked much better going forward against Ajax and with players returning from injury, this should be a good opportunity to get their season properly started. Brighton have been impressive this season but the loss of Potter may take a toll on this team and their defence is quietly starting to leak goals. I’ll take a 3-1 Liverpool win here.

Liverpool 3-1 Brighton

Southampton vs Everton

Odds: Southampton – 23/20 Draw – 12/5 Everton – 12/5

My Prediction:

Everton have definitely improved as of late, they’ve accepted that they’ll need to be a scrappy side this season and have solidified into a team that can beat struggling teams at home and grind out results away from home. Southampton meanwhile have been very inconsistent and I still worry about their lack of chance creation, this could be a 0-0 in my opinion as Everton would take a draw and I don’t think Southampton have that killer edge.

Southampton 0-0 Everton

West Ham vs Wolves

Odds: West Ham – 10/11 Draw- 5/2 Wolves – 16/5

My Prediction:

These are 2 of the most disappointing sides in the league so far this season. They’ve both struggled for goals and have been leaky at the back at inopportune times, Wolves would definitely take a draw here and until West Ham show they’ve turned a corner, it’s tough to back them at odds on. I’ll say this is a boring 1-1 draw.

West Ham 1-1 Wolves

Man City vs Man United

Odds: Man City – 1/3 Draw – 19/4 United – 13/2

My Prediction:

This should be a good matchup for City going forward. Haaland should be too physical for the United defenders and I fancy him to have a big game here, United also should have a decent chance to score goals as City are still missing Laporte at the back and look leaky due to it. But City will have too much firepower and they can win this 3-1.

Man City 3-1 Man United

Leeds vs Aston Villa

Odds: Leeds – 27/20 Draw – 12/5 Villa – 2/1

My Prediction:

Leeds were starting to drop in form before the international break and I think these sides are starting to potentially go in slightly different directions with Villa looking more solid against Southampton. There’s a good chance this is a 1-1 sort of game but I’m going to take a chance on the upset here and say Villa create enough to nick all 3 points here.

Leeds 1-2 Villa

NFL Week 4 Picks

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

Spread: Bengals -4

My Pick:

I’m keen on the Bengals here. Their Achilles heel has been that Joe Burrow has been constantly getting sacked this year but that shouldn’t happen this game as Miami has the worst pressure rate in the league. Miami also has been giving up 5 yards per carry to the run this season so I expect the Bengals offense to have a very good day here. Miami do have a set of receivers that can blow the top off a defense but I have concerns about Tua being injured (even if he plays he likely won’t be at 100%) and the Bengals have a good enough pass rush to give him issues and force bad decision. I expect a surprisingly comfortable Bengals win.

Bengals 28-17 Dolphins

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Vikings -2.5

My Pick:

This will be the first London game of the year. Historically London games have been won easily by the team that would be classed as better but this one looks to be an even matchup. I like the Saints a lot though, they are strong against the run and they have Lattimore to shut down Jefferson, Minnesota doesn’t have a lot of receiving talent outside of that and I can’t see them scoring a lot of points. The Saints meanwhile did get a lot of yards against Carolina last week and I like their deep throwing game against a Vikings secondary that gives up nearly 11 yards per completion. I expect the Saints to control this game and win by a touchdown.

Saints 24-17 Vikings

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Spread: Bills -3.5

My Pick:

This is one of the tougher games to pick for me this week. I fully expect the Bills to do a lot of damage on offense given the Ravens D gives up a lot of yards and is very turnover reliant to stop teams. But the Bills have turned it over 5 times in 3 games so I can see Baltimore getting a couple of more here. The Ravens offense will have to be carried by Jackson as the Bills have been excellent against the run so far this season barring 1 drive against Tennessee, but he’s playing at such a level that I can see him keeping them in this game. I’ll take the Bills to have too much in the end but to only win by 3.

Bills 30-27 Ravens

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

Spread: Giants -3.5

My Pick:

This isn’t a game I particularly want to bet on. Both teams will need to rely on the running game to generate any sort of offense and both teams have poor run defenses so it likely will be a case of whoever scores first can control the game. The sharp money seems to be coming in for the Giants so I’ll take them to win by 6 in what will likely be a game full of running and poor QB play.

Giants 20-14 Bears

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

Spread: Browns -1.5

My Pick:

I’m going to take the Falcons in this one. Both teams are pretty evenly matched in offensive and defensive production and I’d argue that the Falcons have had a harder schedule than the Browns so far. The Falcons being at home would normally give a 1 point edge so my number would be Falcons -2 for this game. The Browns defense has been surprisingly underwhelming with only 7 sacks and 3 turnovers in 3 games all while giving up a lot of yards and the Falcons have shown to have a balanced offense with good playmakers in London, Pitts and Patterson who can have good days in this one. The Browns will also have joy on offense, especially in the running game and I can see a shootout in this one.

Falcons 28-26 Browns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Eagles -6.5

My Pick:

I expect the Eagles to win this one but I like Jacksonville to cover. The Eagles will likely have success with their deep passing game but they’ll have a tougher time running the ball on the Jags defense which has done well on that front in the last couple of weeks while Jacksonville will likely have most of their success on the ground and that will help Lawrence in the passing game, also Jacksonville have allowed the least sacks of any team so far this season so don’t be surprised if they have a good offensive showing and keep this game close.

Eagles 24-21 Jaguars

Houston Texans vs LA Chargers

Spread: Chargers -5

My Pick:

I think people are overreacting to the Chargers losing to Jacksonville last week. They had a huge number of injuries and a QB who was clearly not fit. They get Keenan Allen, JC Jackson and Corey Linsley back this week which is huge for them and the Texans D has been lucky to play 3 poor offenses so far this season. I expect them to get exposed this week and though the Texans could have success running the ball, I can’t see Mills playing well enough to keep up with Herbert. The Chargers should win this easily.

Chargers 27-17 Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Spread: Steelers -3.5

My Pick:

This is another game I have no interest in betting. Both offenses are really poor which by standard logic means you should bet the underdog but I’m actually going to take Pittsburgh in this one for a couple of reasons. Firstly, their defense plays far better at home than on the road and they know Flacco from his time at Baltimore and also the Steelers have forced 4 more turnovers than the Jets so far this season which indicates they could get a pick 6 or at least shorter fields to work with. This game will be ugly but I’ll take the Steelers to scrape a cover in this one.

Steelers 20-14 Jets

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Lions -4.5

My Pick:

I have no interest in betting this game. Detroit for me when fully fit are around 8 points better than Seattle but they’ll be missing Swift and St Brown won’t be fully fit. I still believe they’re good enough to have success on offense given they have capable reserves and the Seattle D has been terrible so far this season, they rely on their pass rush but Detroit have an elite O-line so they should have no issues moving the ball. Seattle also project to do well offensively, Detroit ship a lot of second half points and Seattle will likely have success on the ground and they’ve been strong against the blitz so far this season. I can see this being high scoring but I’ll take Detroit to cover given they’re 3-0 ATS this season.

Lions 30-24 Seahawks

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Spread: Colts -3.5

My Pick:

I’m going to take the Colts here. I don’t feel massively comfortable due to the Titans dominating this rivalry in recent years but the Colts do match up well. The Titans have one of the worst run defenses in the league so far so I expect Taylor to have a good game and while Ryan has been awful so far this season, he’s usually seen to best effect in the play action game. Meanwhile, the Colts are stout against the run so the Titans will struggle to establish Henry and while they should have success throwing the ball, I’d expect Tannehill to turn the ball over at some point. I’ll take the Colts by 10.

Colts 27-17 Titans

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Spread: Dallas -3

My Pick:

I don’t feel amazing about betting Dallas as a favourite, but they’re the right side for me. In my opinion, Washington are a bottom 3 team in the league, they need to be able to generate a pass rush to win games and the Cowboys O-line has held up well this season and will improve with Jason Peters, I expect Dallas to be able to run a balanced offense and take apart a dreadful secondary. Washington meanwhile will have to deal with another defense that loves getting to the QB and Wentz is dreadful when under pressure. I can see this being a blowout first half again with Washington maybe making it respectable in the second half. I’ll take Dallas by 6.

Cowboys 23-17 Commanders

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Spread: Panthers -1.5

My Pick:

This isn’t a game I want to bet due to the fact that these teams have 2 of the worst coaches in the league. My line would be a pick em so I guess we get some value with Arizona. Their defense has improved since week 1 due to players returning and they’ve held better teams than the Panthers to low totals as of late, that being said the Panthers D is also excellent so this looks like it will be a low scoring game. Kyler Murray is a better QB than Baker Mayfield and that can make the difference in an ugly one.

Cardinals 17-16 Panthers

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Spread: Raiders -2.5

My Pick:

This spread feels like it’s completely wrong. The Broncos for me are definitely a better team than the Raiders and I’d expect them to be the 3 point favourites yet the Raiders are. The Broncos played an elite defense last week and did finally score a redzone TD and with the Raiders D being poor against the pass, this might be the week the floodgates finally open. On the other side of the ball, the Broncos D line has an excellent matchup here and Carr has proven that he can be turnover happy when he has pressure on him, the Raiders may have some success on the ground but their coaching staff don’t seem to want to run the ball a lot. Being able to back Broncos moneyline here looks the way to go as you only need them to win so Hackett’s awful game management won’t stop them from covering a number if they were a favourite.

Broncos 24-14 Raiders

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots

Spread: Packers -9.5

My Pick:

I think this spread is a little too high. The Packers aren’t an offensive juggernaut and the Patriots are solid against running backs. That leaves Rodgers relying more than he’d like on his questionable receiving corps and while I like the Packers to do enough against a slightly underwhelming New England secondary, I can see them scoring only 21 points or so. New England meanwhile should have success with their running game and that should be good enough to let them have a decent time of possession and score a couple of touchdowns to keep this defeat down to 7 points.

Packers 21-14 Patriots

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs -2

My Pick:

This game may not happen due to the hurricane in Florida so don’t bet it until on the day. I imagine there’ll be an emotional aspect for this game and Tampa will likely play harder than usual due to the events going on at the moment. I’m going to take them to win here, both defenses should defend well against the run but are blitz heavy and both QBs are excellent against the blitz. I believe both teams are even and that the line should be Tampa -1 with Evans returning, with the extra emotional aspect on top of that, I’ll take them by 3 against a Chiefs team that could have more special teams issues.

Buccaneers 20-17 Chiefs

San Francisco 49ers vs LA Rams

Spread: 49ers -1.5

My Pick:

I personally had this game as 49ers -2 so I’ll be picking them here but it’s not a confident pick. Their pass rush figures to do well against a Rams team with a left tackle injury and that have struggled to score points against 2 teams that are good at getting to the QB. I expect a lack of success on the ground as well for the Rams so the offense feels like Kupp or bust, he’ll make a play or 2 but I struggle to see them getting much more than 14 points. The 49ers should be able to take advantage of the Rams having injuries in their secondary with the receiving weapons they have and Jimmy G is usually pretty good at home, they should also run the ball reasonably well and they can get the job done here.

49ers 21-14 Rams

Premier League Predictions – Round 8

Aston Villa vs Southampton

Odds: Villa – 11/10 Draw – 5/2 Southampton – 5/2

My Pick:

This game should be a tight one. Southampton have improved at the back in the last few games while Villa may have stumbled upon something good with the Ramsey-Luiz-Kamara midfield trio. Unfortunately for Villa it looks like Gerrard will be sticking with McGinn which may make things tougher in midfield for them. I don’t particularly rate the attacks of either side currently and I can see this game finishing 1-1 given both teams struggle to keep clean sheets.

Villa 1-1 Southampton

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham

Odds: Forest – 7/4 Draw – 23/10 Fulham – 13/8

My Pick:

I can see there being goals in this game. Forest have played better attackingly at home while Fulham have been conceding goals away so Forest should find the net and given Forest heavily struggled with Solanke last time out, Mitrovic should have a good game here. I wouldn’t be surprised by any of the 3 results happening so I’ll say that this game finishes 2-2 with BTTS being the best bet here.

Forest 2-2 Fulham

Back both teams to score at 4/6

Wolves vs Man City

Odds: Wolves – 17/2 Draw – 4/1 Man City – 1/3

My Pick:

I don’t see this being as straight forward as the odds suggest for Man City. They’ve drawn their last 2 away games and they were poor for most of the game on Tuesday. Wolves are currently an underrated side that maybe just lack a killer instinct. But I can definitely see this being 1-1 given City have injuries at the back and Wolves have had extra rest compared to them. I’d be inclined to back Wolves +1.5 on the handicap line as even if they lose, I think it would only be by 1 goal.

Wolves 1-1 Man City

Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Odds: Newcastle – 4/9 Draw – 17/5 Bournemouth – 13/2

My Pick:

I like Newcastle to win this one comfortably. They were exceptionally unlucky against Palace missing 5 big chances and they should be able to beat a Bournemouth side that took advantage of a Forest implosion but still have major issues at the back and will likely struggle against the bigger sides. I can see this being a 3-0 Newcastle win.

Newcastle 3-0 Bournemouth

Tottenham vs Leicester

Odds: Tottenham – 9/20 Draw – 7/2 Leicester – 6/1

My Pick:

Spurs weren’t good in midweek but 2-0 was a slightly unfair result and maybe a draw would’ve been a bit more reflective of the match. I think they can bounce back here given they’ve been strong at home and Leicester are still an awful defensive side. I can definitely see Leicester scoring but being overwhelmed by the better side and piling more pressure on Rodgers. I expect Spurs to win a high scoring game.

Spurs 3-1 Leicester

Brentford vs Arsenal

Odds: Brentford – 16/5 Draw – 14/5 Arsenal – 4/5

My Pick:

This for me is a matchup that may truly reflect how good a team Arsenal are. They were always likely to struggle against United as United matched up pretty perfectly to beat them but this game will be more interesting on that front. Brentford attack at pace on the counter which seems to be what Arsenal struggle with given their high line can cause problems and they’re more comfortable against physical sides than pacey sides defensively. But Brentford also struggle at defending against the pacey sides that prefer keeping it on the ground so I think this could be a high scorer, I’d be inclined to bet Brentford if I was betting this game purely because they offer more value so I’ll pick them to win 3-2 though I wouldn’t be surprised by any of the 3 results again.

Brentford 3-2 Arsenal

Everton vs West Ham

Odds: Everton – 19/10 Draw – 9/4 West Ham – 6/4

My Pick:

I like West Ham to nick a win here. They did the double over Everton last season and I imagine Everton will have to attack more than in their recent draws which may leave them open to the counter. West Ham would’ve been full value for a point at Stamford Bridge and have been finding the net a bit more recently, they can get a 2-1 win here.

Everton 1-2 West Ham

NFL Week 2 Picks

Kansas City Chiefs vs LA Chargers

Spread: Chiefs -4

My Pick:

Both teams are coming off good week 1 performances and in my opinion are very evenly matched with maybe a slight lean for Kansas for me. I like Kansas in this one because I believe they’ll be able to establish a good running game unlike the Chargers and they can control time of possession. The injury to Keenan Allen will hurt the Chargers at receiver as well though Herbert will be given time by an offensive line coming off an excellent pass rushing performance. This game should be a shootout due to it likely being a pass heavy matchup for the Chargers at least and Kansas thrive off of big plays and since the sharp money is coming in for Kansas and I like them to win, I may as well take them to cover the spread.

Chiefs 34-28 Chargers

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

Spread: Giants -2

My Pick:

This game is a bit dicey to pick. Both quarterbacks will likely commit a lot of turnovers this season and could hold back good rosters outside of that so the game will probably be decided by who protects the ball the best. I’m going for the Panthers on this one because I believe they’ll be able to put more pressure on Jones than the Giants will on Mayfield. The main concern for the Panthers will be stopping Barkley given he had a monster game last week and the Panthers got torn apart by the run game but I believe the Giants aren’t as strong at running as the Browns are and the Panthers were an ok rush defending team last season so they can improve on that front this week. McCaffrey can have a big game and Mayfield will likely be able to make enough throws against what looked like a poor pass defence last week to get the win.

Panthers 24-17 Giants

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Spread: Colts -4

My Pick:

This is another game that is hard to pick. There’s 2 major reasons for this, the first is the uncertainty over the availability of Shaq Leonard, if he’s available then the Colts will easily cover, if he isn’t then it becomes a coinflip of a game, the news is very 50/50 coming from the Colts camp and that doesn’t help. The second reason is that both of these teams were incredibly penalty happy in week 1, I like the Jaguars to clean up on this more than the Colts due to them facing a weaker pass rush this weak but the Jaguars love shooting themselves in the foot. For now I’m going to take the Jaguars to cover, this figures to be a low scoring game given that Matt Ryan will likely face some heat so I imagine he’ll have to spend the game dumping the ball off to Taylor who will definitely make some plays out of the backfield but it may kill off their chances of big plays downfield. The Jaguars should have more success throwing the ball this week but the chance of penalties and turnovers concerns me. I’ll take the Colts to win by 1. (This pick changes if Leonard is declared healthy)

Colts 21-20 Jaguars

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Spread: Ravens -3.5

My Pick:

I like the Ravens in this one. They may have injuries but they’re a very well coached team and I believe Lamar Jackson will likely turn things up this season to secure himself a big money contract. The Dolphins failed to score a touchdown on 2 trips to the redzone last week and given Baltimore have an excellent secondary, I believe the Dolphins will have to grind things out downfield more than relying on a couple of big plays last week. Tua also made a couple of unpunished mistakes despite an improved performance. The Dolphins will likely keep Baltimore honest on the ground and may have success with getting to Jackson given their strong O-line but I also don’t like the Miami running game and that may hurt them against a defence that is weaker to the run than the pass. I believe the failure to convert in the redzone costs Miami here and the Ravens squeak out a cover.

Ravens 21-16 Dolphins

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Spread: Patriots -1.5

My pick:

I’m actually annoyed that this is a matchup this week. I would’ve loved to have bet against both teams this weekend given they’re both overrated. I’m going to take the Patriots in this one. It projects to be a defensive struggle though both teams should run the ball well, I believe Pittsburgh have a more talented running back, but the QB edge New England have and the injury to TJ Watt swings the pendulum in their favour. I expect this game to be run heavy and low scoring and with both QBs likely to be even on turnovers, it may come down to which QB can make a drive in the 4th quarter and I trust Jones more than Trubisky to do that.

Patriots 17-13 Steelers

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Spread: Browns -6

My Pick:

I believe the Browns will win this game easily enough. Their running backs will do very well and I imagine their pass rush will be all over Joe Flacco in this game, but given the Browns don’t have a great quarterback and the Jets have a good secondary, the question is will the Browns score enough points to cover 6 points if they let the Jets score some points in garbage time which is likely. I’m going to go with no, the Browns will likely feast off of intermediate gains which will mean long drives and a lower scoring game, I also could see Brissett forcing a throw or 2 if the Jets pass rush can get to him and an interception turned into a short field could see some free points for the Jets. The Jets offense will likely be anaemic for most of the afternoon given they will struggle to run the ball effectively and their tackles have bad matchups against the Cleveland edge rushers, but Flacco does love a garbage time stat pad. The opportunity for points off a turnover, added to the likelihood of a garbage time TD are a good enough reason for me to go with the Jets to cover but lose.

Browns 20-17 Jets

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread: Tampa -2.5

My Pick:

I like the Saints to win this one outright. The Buccaneers have a lot of key injuries and the Saints had a bend but don’t break performance on defence last week, especially towards the end of the game and given the Bucs have lost Godwin and Evans will be stuck against Lattimore, the best chance of them getting offense is either running the ball or dumping it off to Fournette. The Buccaneers also have secondary injuries and with Michael Thomas looking like he may be back to his best and a selection of other receivers to throw to, the Saints look like they should be the better team in this matchup. The Buccaneers D will likely limit Kamara but Winston is mobile enough to make plays against a good pass rush. This is probably going to be a low scoring game, but the Saints have more weapons that should perform well here and they can win this game.

Saints 21-17 Buccaneers

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Spread: Lions -2.5

My Pick:

This may be one of those picks that looks really stupid come the end of the weekend, but I’m taking Washington to win this game. Both teams figure to heavily struggle on defense, the Lions block excellently which will neutralise the best part of the Washington D which is its pass rush and the Lions looked awful against the run and AJ Brown last week, so Wentz should be comfortable handing the ball off or taking the deep shots he loves to take. The key factor for me is redzone defence, Washington kept Jacksonville down to 2TDs from 5 redzone trips while the Lions gave up 4 on 5 redzone trips, given both teams are expected to give up a ton of yardage, being able to stiffen up in the redzone may be the key to victory in this one. I’ll take Washington to win a shootout.

Commanders 31-28 Lions

LA Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Spread: Rams -10.5

My Pick:

The Rams occasionally play down to opposition at home so I’ve had a look into what the trend is for that and whether the Falcons can find a way to cover. The 2 games last year where they got played close by weaker teams were the Lions and Seahawks who effectively erased either the passing or running game to keep things close and then ran the ball effectively. I struggle to see the Falcons stopping either aspect, they struggled against the run last week and though they have good corners, an elite number 1 receiver can beat them which is what the Rams have in Kupp, I’m not entirely sold on this Rams offense but they’ll be able to do enough to cover as the Falcons had turnover issues last week. This game won’t be the most exciting but the Rams should get the job done at home.

Rams 24-10 Falcons

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Spread: 49ers -8.5

My Pick:

I imagine people will overreact to the 49ers losing last week. The conditions were awful and their QB made some bad plays in a matchup where not turning the ball over was key. Fortunately for the 49ers this matchup will not have bad weather and the Seahawks aren’t a great team. Last week was their “SuperBowl” which is definitely something I should’ve picked up on when making my pick for the game but I can’t see them doing anything on offense this time with their O-line projected to struggleand the defense gave up a lot of yardage last week but got a couple of turnovers, if the 49ers can keep it down to 1 turnover maximum then they’ll cover this spread.

49ers 27-13 Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Spread: Bengals -7

My Pick:

This is another game where I can see it being low scoring which allows an underdog to cover. The Cowboys defense will have to play to a higher level knowing the offense will likely struggle and given that Burrow got sacked 7 times last week, it looks like the Bengals offense may need some time to fully get into gear. I imagine Joe Mixon will have a better day this week after a slightly underwhelming performance in a good matchup last week but I’m still not sold on the Bengals getting much past the 20 point mark. The Cowboys will have Cooper Rush playing who will mostly be a checkdown artist with the potential of a turnover but he can make the odd good throw every now and then and I can see him driving down the field at least once or twice. This isn’t a game I’d bet but I’m taking Dallas to cover.

Bengals 20-14 Cowboys

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

Spread: Raiders -5.5

My Pick:

I like the Raiders to cover here. I was slightly disappointed in how they played last week given I had bet them to win but most of that comes down to Carr being under heavy duress and struggling because of that. Based on the current injury report he should have plenty more time in the pocket in this one and he’ll be able to rely on his running game more. I worry for Arizona, Murray looks like he’s struggling to read defenses and I’m not convinced by their coaching staff ever since they collapsed last year, add that to a whole host of injuries in key areas and it’s tough to see how the Raiders don’t win the battle in the trenches and the game. I’m going for the Raiders in a surprise blowout.

Raiders 31-17 Cardinals

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

Spread: Broncos -10

My Pick:

While the Texans were better than most expected and the Broncos were worse than most expected, I’m still confident the Broncos can cover here. Davis Mills has consistently struggled on the road and the Broncos secondary should be able to easily shut down the Texans, the only hope the Texans have is establishing the run which they may have some success with but I imagine the game script will force them to throw it a lot which will hurt them. Denver should have a good day on offense here, they picked up a huge amount of yardage on Monday and only lost because of fumbling issues, I’m willing to put that down as a freak result and take them to fix things up here and pick up a win.

Broncos 31-13 Texans

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Spread: Packers -10

My Pick:

The Packers lost last week because having both of their tackles out meant Rodgers had no chance against a solid pass rush. They look set to be back this week and that entirely transforms how Green Bay will play, I expect them to win this comfortably as Rodgers will have time to throw the ball, the run game projects to do well and given the Bears don’t have anyone on offense of the talent level of Justin Jefferson, the Packers should be able to clamp down on defense and pick up a much needed win.

Packers 28-14 Bears

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Spread: Bills -10

My Pick:

I believe this spread is too high. The Bills were obviously excellent last week and they will move the ball well against anyone but the strength of the Titans defense is their pass defense and specifically their pass rush, they looked atrocious against the run last week but the Bills don’t have an elite running back so they may not have the success the Giants had last week. I also believe the Bills to be weaker to the run than the pass and given the Titans have one of the best backs in the league in Henry, they can mount long drives and turn this game into a bit of a slugfest. It feels like a game where Allen puts together a drive late to bail out his team against a tough opponent. I’ll take the Bills to win but the Titans to cover.

Bills 24-21 Titans

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Eagles -2

My Pick:

This looks like it will be a matchup where both rushing attacks dominate and I believe the spread being a coinflip is fairly accurate. I was surprised by how much success Detroit had on the ground last week and Dalvin Cook could have a big day this week. Minnesota also struggled against the run and Philadelphia are an elite running team so expect a lot of running from both sides. This will likely come down to which quarterback can make a play late and I’m going to pick Cousins in this spot over Hurts. I’m still not entirely sold on Hurts while I believe Cousins is improving and with the Vikings having Jefferson as an X factor, they can get the win here.

Vikings 27-24 Eagles

NFL Week 1 Picks

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Spread: Bills -2.5

My Pick:

This should be a fun one to start the season. These are 2 of the best outfits in the NFL and a lot of people would not be surprised at all if this ended up being the SuperBowl. The Bills have one of the most potent offenses in the league but this may end up being a tougher matchup than most for them, the defensive line of the Rams matches up well against a Bills O-line that isn’t the greatest up the middle so I expect Aaron Donald to wreak havoc and Jalen Ramsey will be able to restrict Stefon Diggs, the guy that may end up doing the most damage for the Bills on offense is Gabriel Davis. The Rams on offense will also likely struggle against the elite pass rush of the Bills but with the Bills not being the greatest at corner, Stafford will be able to get his guys open and a big part of this game will be whether Allen Robinson rediscovers his form from before 2021 with Kupp likely to be seeing extra attention given that he is the best slot receiver in the NFL. I like the Rams to win this one though, their strengths match up well with the weaknesses of the Bills and they have a couple of less injuries to deal with.

Rams 27-23 Bills

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

Spread: Ravens -7

My Pick:

I believe the Jets will improve this season, but this is a rough matchup for them. The Ravens are built to attack the weakness of the Jets on defense which is the linebacking corps and covering the middle of the field, the Jets are likely to be strong at corner and safety but the Ravens are unlikely to use their wide receivers a lot given they’re not the greatest group and this game may depend on how aggressive the Jets will be at defending short to medium routes and giving their linebackers safety help on coverage, it risks them being blown over the top of but it will stop Baltimore from grinding out 6-10 yards every play and getting down the field easily. Meanwhile, the Jets on offense will be starting Joe Flacco who doesn’t offer much at all so they’ll need to rely on the run. The issue is the Ravens have an excellent defensive line and Michael Carter struggled against non-dreadful run defenses last season. I expect Flacco to have to throw the ball more than expected and though he may have some success with dump offs, I doubt it will be enough for the Jets to remain competitive.

Ravens 28-14 Jets

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

Spread: Panthers -1.5

My Pick:

The Browns have a decent offensive matchup in this game, their run game figures to be very hard to stop given the weakness the Panthers have at DT, Chubb and Hunt should be able to barrel through the middle behind an elite offensive line and consistently pick up large chunks of yardage. The positive for the Panthers defense is they figure to have some joy against the pass game of the Browns who have some underwhelming pass catching options. The Panthers on offense may struggle here, McCaffrey is slated to have a good matchup against underwhelming defensive tackles and linebackers that while they are decent, they probably aren’t good enough to cover him. The issue is none of the other skill position players for the Panthers look to have a good matchup here and thus they may struggle to put too many points on the board. This figures to be a low scorer and the Browns have more elite players than the Panthers so I’ll take them to nick a win on the road here.

Browns 20-17 Panthers

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Spread: Colts -7

My Pick:

I actually like this matchup on offense for the Texans, they should be able to run the ball well if Dameon Pierce continues his strong preseason form and the blocking should hold up well enough to give Davis Mills some time in the pocket. Obviously there is a concern that he can be very hit or miss but he tended to save his better games for being at home and while I expect a tough day for Brandin Cooks, the other receivers they have do have decent matchups if they have the quality to get open. The Colts will likely lean on the run given that the Texans have dubious DTs and poor linebackers, this doesn’t bode well given Jonathan Taylor is one of the best RBs in the league and this bodes well for Matt Ryan who is an excellent play action QB, that being said the Texans have definitely improved in the secondary but I worry the Colts have too much talent at receiver and the safeties of the Texans will likely have to push up to try and support the run defense. This game will likely be higher scoring than most expect but I’m not sure the Texans will be able to stop the Colts.

Colts 31-24 Texans

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Commanders -2.5

My Pick:

These are 2 teams I expect to struggle this season and this isn’t exactly a great matchup on paper. The Washington offense in theory should have success, they look likely to win the battle in the trenches and they should have enough receiving talent to take advantage of a Jaguars side with poor linebackers and question marks at safety, but the big question mark is how Carson Wentz plays coming off one of the worst performances of his career in a week 18 matchup with Jacksonville last season. The Jaguars on offense should have some success if they can keep the pocket clean, Washington only have 1 good corner and they were dreadful against the pass last year, the Jaguars O-line will probably get dominated here a bit and I don’t see them doing much on the ground but if Lawrence can get the ball out quickly, there will be opportunities downfield. This figures to be low scoring and I’m going to take Washington to edge this with home advantage with limited confidence.

Commanders 17-14 Jaguars

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Spread: Dolphins -3.5

My Pick:

The Miami offense will likely rely on yards after the catch and their aerial attack to win here. The Patriots defense has no major weaknesses except maybe at corner but isn’t particularly strong anywhere except at safety, the trenches look fairly even so this looks like the sort of game where their skill position players will need to make the big plays for them, I believe they’re capable of that since the Patriots will be forced to play more zone than usual due to the threat of Hill and the Dolphins can have success as long as Tua’s decision making has improved. On offense, the Patriots will look to lean on the run, they normally have a good offensive line (though it struggled in preseason) and it will be an interesting matchup against a strong Miami defensive front. The matchup between the receivers of the Patriots and the DBs of Miami looks fairly even so the game may be decided on the arm of Mac Jones, he has looked really poor in preseason so I’m taking Miami to get the win here.

Dolphins 24-17 Patriots

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Spread: Saints -5.5

My pick:

The Saints on offense should have a solid day, the Falcons look set to be really poor on the defensive line and they only have 1 good linebacker. This should mean the Alvin Kamara will have success and though the receivers of the Saints may struggle to get open, there’ll be gaps in the middle of the field and Winston should get enough time in the pocket to make some plays. It could be a tougher day for the Falcons, the Saints have one of the better front sevens in the league and I imagine the Falcons will not get up to much on the ground. The Falcons only really have 2 threatening receivers in London and Pitts and both of them will have bad matchups here, it’s tough to see the Falcons doing a lot on offense and I can see the front seven dominating in a win for the Saints.

Saints 20-10 Falcons

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Eagles -4

My Pick:

The Eagles look like they’ll be a very good team this year if Jalen Hurts has improved over the offseason given they have an excellent offensive line, dynamic receivers and a strong running game. They should have a lot of success against a pedestrian Lions defense and I can see them scoring a lot of points however they want to go in this game with AJ Brown especially looking like he can have a good day. The Lions have a strong offensive line and with the Eagles having a D line that is no better than average, they should be able to run the ball decently and give Goff some time, that being said, the Eagles have a good secondary and I don’t fully trust Goff still. In a game of unreliable QBs, I’m taking the better roster to win and that is certainly the Eagles.

Eagles 27-17 Lions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread: Bengals -6.5

My Pick:

The Bengals offense will be interesting to watch here, this is a big test of the credentials of their new O-line against a stout pass rush and I expect Burrow to maybe face some pressure here. That being said, he’ll get some help as Joe Mixon will likely have a field day against a poor linebacking unit and overall rush defense and this may afford him the extra time he needs to get his guys open against a mediocre secondary. The Steelers on offense have some solid players and it seems an even matchup with the Bengals defense except in the trenches where the Bengals look set to dominate and though the receivers should get open at times, Trubisky is a poor QB against pressure and I don’t see the Steelers coming away with a lot of points in this one.

Bengals 24-16 Steelers

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

Spread: 49ers -7

My Pick:

The Bears offense looks set to struggle here, they have to deal with one of the deeper D-lines in the league and they have a dreadful O-line on paper. They don’t have a lot of talent in the skill positions and that doesn’t bode well against a defense with no obvious weak spot to exploit. The 49ers offense meanwhile may have some struggles with blocking but they can take advantage of the Bears having poor linebackers and George Kittle could have a huge day here as well as Lance on the ground. Add that Deebo Samuel will be too good for the corners to cover and this looks a very ideal matchup for the 49ers.

49ers 27-13 Bears

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Spread: Packers -1.5

My Pick:

This could be a tough day on offense for Minnesota. The Packers don’t have a standout weakness anywhere on their defense and their D-line is especially strong against a dodgy offensive line. They’ll need their playmakers to conjure up some magic and Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson will be required to play to a very high level for the Vikings to have a chance here. The Packers on offense do look questionable this season. They look very weak at receiver and they’ll be relying on Rodgers to elevate the level of those around him. The Packers will normally look to rely on the run but this may be tough against a strong Vikings defensive line and the good safeties they have. This feels like it may turn into a defensive slugfest and I like Jefferson and Cook over the playmakers the Packers have to pull out something in the clutch so I’ll take Minnesota to grind out a win.

Vikings 20-17 Packers

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs -6

My Pick:

The Cardinals offense vs the Chiefs defense is an interesting one. The O-line is the main weakness for Arizona while the Chiefs have a weak D-line and the loss of Hopkins means that Arizona may struggle to dominate a weaker secondary. Neither team has a major advantage anywhere so I imagine Arizona score an average number of points which is around the 21-24 mark. The Chiefs should do better on offense as the Cardinals are weak at linebacker though Mahomes will need to get the ball out of his hands quickly since the edge rushers of Arizona should fare well in this one. The Cardinals are weak at linebacker which brings Kelce very much into the game and though the Chiefs have lost Hill, they have some good depth now at receiver and an elite quarterback can have them put up good numbers. I expect the Chiefs to have too much on offense for Arizona and to win this one.

Chiefs 31-24 Cardinals

LA Chargers vs LV Raiders

Spread: Chargers -3

My Pick:

The Chargers offense should have success here if Herbert can stay protected. That could be a big if though as the Chargers are weak at right tackle and that may be where we find Maxx Crosby. He’ll have to have a big game to win this one as the Chargers looks set to have success against average linebackers and average cornerbacks with Herbert and Ekeler likely to have good days. The Raiders on offense will be a similar story, one of Mack or Bosa is slated to have a huge game here since the Raiders won’t protect their right side well but on the flip side, the Chargers only have 1 excellent play in each of the other position groups while the Raiders are stacked at receiver. Carr will get his guys open given time and I actually like the Raiders to pull off the upset here, they match up well and are maybe being slept on in this division.

Raiders 27-24 Chargers

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants

Spread: Titans -5.5

My Pick:

The Titans offense looks to have regressed this season, especially on the line front and they may struggle a bit here. They lack depth at receiver and the Giants have enough talent at corner and safety to slow them down. But the concern for the Giants is they are poor at the linebacker position and this should allow Henry to wreak havoc as a receiver and the Titans have tight ends who are red zone threats so if they do get down the field, they should be able to finish off drives. The Giants on offense have finally improved on the O-line and Jones should have more time in the pocket this season. He will need to have improved though as the Titans are excellent at safety and they will be there to pounce on any poor throws from him. The Giants though do look like they’ll win the battle in the trenches and this gives Saquon Barkley the chance to have a big game and I could see them pulling off the upset, but I have enough questions about Jones to say they just miss out on a win.

Titans 21-20 Giants

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread: Buccaneers -2.5

My Pick:

The Cowboys may regress overall on offense this year. I like CeeDee Lamb to have a huge season but the Cowboys have weakened on the offensive line and this may be a worry against a good Tampa defensive front. I also worry about Elliott regressing and though the Cowboys may have an edge with their tight ends against the Tampa linebackers, Prescott may be seeing more pressure than he likes which could cause mistakes. The Bucs offense may also have a tough day, they may have some joy through the middle against poor DTs but Micah Parsons looks set to have a big day for Dallas and the Bucs have a couple of new guys at left guard and center. This may cause some issues and if Brady faces pressure, the Cowboys are good at getting takeaways, but if he doesn’t then the Cowboys secondary will likely struggle against the receiving depth Tampa has. I expect this to be a low scoring and evenly matched game so I’ll take the underdog to edge it.

Cowboys 21-20 Buccaneers

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Spread: Broncos -6.5

My Pick:

The Seahawks offense may be stymied by having Geno Smith at QB, he’s solid but not spectacular and is a major downgrade from Wilson. I also worry about their O-line against this defensive front but if they did get some blocking together, they have the playmakers to get something going. That being said, the Broncos have a nice secondary and lack a standout weakness on defense outside of linebacker depth. The Broncos on offense should have a good matchup here, the Seahawks have some players that definitely can get burnt deep and Wilson loves throwing the deep ball. They also have a nice 1-2 rushing punch that should take advantage of the linebackers of Seattle. I have some worries in the long run about the O-line of Denver and the emotional aspect will be in the favour of Seattle but this should be a winnable game for Denver.

Broncos 24-17 Seahawks

Premier League Predictions – Round 5

Crystal Palace vs Brentford

Odds: Crystal Palace – 21/20 Draw – 12/5 Brentford – 13/5

My Prediction:

Both teams have been playing pretty well as of late and have been effective going forward but a little shaky at the back lately. But I like Palace to win here for a couple of reasons, firstly they have been less shaky at the back than Brentford and conceding 4 against Man City is forgivable for a lot of teams and secondly, they have home advantage here and having played well in their last home game, they can continue the trend here with a 2-1 win.

Palace 2-1 Brentford

Fulham vs Brighton

Odds: Fulham – 9/4 Draw – 23/10 Brighton – 13/10

My Prediction:

This a matchup between 2 of the most impressive sides in the league so far this season. They’ve both combined hard working players with strong tactics from their managers and have really blossomed as a result. I can see this being a 1-1 draw as while Brighton are probably the stronger team, Mitrovic looks the most obvious scorer on the pitch and Fulham have been able to create chances at will at home so far this season, this could be a high quality game and I can’t separate these sides right now.

Fulham 1-1 Brighton

Southampton vs Chelsea

Odds: Southampton – 17/4 Draw – 3/1 Chelsea – 4/6

My Prediction:

I don’t particularly trust Southampton but this should be a good opportunity for them to get a result. Chelsea have a few injuries including Reece James and that may damage their creative spark as well as force them to rely on some older players at the back. Chelsea have struggled to create chances this season and Southampton have only conceded once in the last 2 games to 2 pretty strong attacking teams so I can see them getting a 1-1 draw.

Southampton 1-1 Chelsea

Leeds vs Everton

Odds: Leeds – 11/10 Draw – 5/2 Everton – 12/5

My Prediction:

The “sharp” money is coming in for Everton but I think they will lose this game. Leeds are a high octane side that have created a lot of chances this season and Everton lack the attacking capabilities to score more than once a game still at the moment since Maupay is unlikely to start this game. Leeds did leak some big chances against Brighton but they’ve defended much better at home than away and I can see them winning 2-0 here.

Leeds 2-0 Everton

Bournemouth vs Wolves

Odds: Bournemouth – 5/2 Draw – 23/10 Wolves – 23/20

My Prediction:

First of all, I think Bournemouth sacking Parker at this stage of the season is extremely harsh and that it may be a mistake due to the lack of a quality manager waiting in the wings. Seems like the best option may be Sean Dyche but that will just keep them being the side they were going to be anyway which is a physical side that can impose themselves on teams at home on a smaller pitch but will struggle on bigger pitches so it doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. In terms of this game, I can see it being a draw. Wolves were pretty disappointing at the weekend against a weakened Newcastle team and I can see this being a 1-1 or a 0-0, with both teams in a bit of turmoil right now, I’m going to say 0-0.

Bournemouth 0-0 Wolves

Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Odds: Arsenal – 9/20 Draw – 7/2 Villa – 5/1

My Prediction:

Villa are one of the worst teams in the league at the moment and while on paper they could be a threat if they start players like Buendia and Bailey, their defence will likely let them down again as they aren’t settled and are overly prone to mistakes. Arsenal played well at the weekend barring a defensive error and though their goals were arguably fortunate, they deserved to beat Fulham and they can win again here.

Arsenal 2-0 Aston Villa

Man City vs Nottingham Forest

Odds: City – 1/12 Draw – 11/1 Forest – 28/1

My Prediction:

Forest acquitted themselves well against Spurs but they struggle to create big chances and even though I can see them scoring here against a City defence which is weakened at the moment, City should still win this comfortably. I can see the scoreline staying respectable though as City will likely take off some of their bigger names for a breather if they’re 2 ahead with half an hour to go.

Man City 3-1 Forest

West Ham vs Tottenham

Odds: West Ham – 13/5 Draw – 14/5 Spurs – 19/20

My Prediction:

West Ham finally got a win at the weekend and they played well in the second half, but the game was still of a low quality overall. Spurs seem to be able to grind out results even when they’re not in absolute peak form and though the derby aspect of this game makes it unpredictable, I’m going to say Spurs can eke out a 2-1 win. They have higher quality players than West Ham and they seem a bit more bought into their project than West Ham are at the moment.

West Ham 1-2 Spurs

Liverpool vs Newcastle

Odds: Liverpool – 2/7 Draw – 19/4 Newcastle – 9/1

My Prediction:
A couple of weeks ago, I was looking at this matchup as an excellent spot to back Newcastle, but with the injuries to Guimares, Wilson and Saint-Maximim, this now should be a straight forward victory for Liverpool. Newcastle will play hard and acquit themselves well at times but the lack of quality in a few positions at the moment will hurt them here and I can see this being a 3-0 win for Liverpool.

Liverpool 3-0 Newcastle

Leicester vs Man United

Odds: Leicester – 23/10 Draw – 11/4 Man United – 11/10

My Prediction:

A lot of people will look at this matchup and expect there to be a lot of goals but I could see this one being tight. The defensive players United have are well set up to neutralise the threat of a side like Leicester and I’m not massively convinced about United going forward. That being said, I think they enough quality to be able to nick a 1-0 win here and put Leicester into even more trouble.

Leicester 0-1 Man United

Premier League Predictions – Round 4

Southampton vs Man United

Odds: Southampton – 10/3 Draw – 3/1 United – 3/4

My Prediction:

United managed to turn around their poor form against Liverpool last week in a game where Ten Haag got things spot on tactically. But this will be a different test for United. Southampton have started to get the hang of finding the net and Che Adams being in form and an aerial threat may spell trouble for the United defence. Southampton still look dodgy at the back but with this new found resilience they have had over the last few weeks, they can get a draw here.

Southampton 2-2 Man United

Brentford vs Everton

Odds: Brentford – 1/1  Draw – 5/2 Everton – 11/4

My Prediction:

The Everton vs Forest game last week was a really poor affair and though Everton had slightly the better of the game, it was still a bad performance and I can see them losing here. Brentford have been pretty clinical in front of goal so far this season and though they gave up a lot of chances last week, they should be more comfortable at home against an attack that has been toothless to start the season. I expect Brentford to win this 2-1.

Brentford 2-1 Everton

Brighton vs Leeds

Odds: Brighton – 10/11 Draw – 14/5 Leeds – 14/5

My Prediction:

2 in form and exciting sides go head to head here. Brighton have been excellent so far this season and if they can hold this form, they can definitely push for 6th or 7th this season. Leeds meanwhile have also been a revelation under Marsch and if they keep things up, they can aim more for a upper midtable finish than think about a relegation battle. In terms of this matchup, I’m going to take a draw, both sides haven’t given up too many big chances and I can see a scenario where Leeds score first, but tire and let Brighton get an equaliser for a 1-1 draw.

Brighton 1-1 Leeds

Chelsea vs Leicester

Odds: Chelsea – 2/5 Draw – 4/1 Leicester – 6/1

My Prediction:

For a team that have had issues in front of goal like Chelsea, this is a fairly ideal matchup. Leicester have a really poor defence at the moment and I imagine the pace of Chelsea’s forwards will give them problems. I can also see Leicester giving Chelsea issues at the back and I do expect them to score, but it won’t be enough to get a result in this one.

Chelsea 3-1 Leicester

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Odds: Liverpool – 1/10 Draw – 9/1 Bournemouth – 25/1

My Prediction:

Liverpool are obviously a mess at the moment, they lack a quality passer in midfield and their defending has been nothing short of lazy this year. I do expect them to struggle in the near future but not in this game. Bournemouth don’t have the pace to catch Liverpool on the counter and I don’t think they have the quality to park the bus successfully for an entire 90 minutes. I expect Liverpool to win comfortably.

Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth

Man City vs Crystal Palace

Odds: Man City – 2/11 Draw – 13/2 Palace – 12/1

My Prediction:

Palace historically have a good record against Man City and this may be a good time to play them. The injury to Nathan Ake will weaken them more at the back than most people expect and Palace have a good defence which should have some success against City. I’m going to go for a minor upset here and say Palace nick a draw here, they’ll pose a threat on the counter and may be hard for City to break down.

Man City 1-1 Palace

Arsenal vs Fulham

Odds: Arsenal – 3/10 Draw – 19/4 Fulham – 8/1

My Prediction:

Arsenal have impressed so far this season but this may be the toughest test they come up against so far. Fulham have attacked really effectively so far this season and have created plenty of chances. That being said, I can see Arsenal grinding out a win here purely because they are at home and that their forwards are all in form, but I wouldn’t be stunned at all if Fulham could get a result out of this one.

Arsenal 2-1 Fulham

Aston Villa vs West Ham

Odds: Villa – 13/10 Draw – 12/5 West Ham – 21/10

My Prediction:

On current form, these are 2 of the worst sides in the league. Both teams feel like they have something fundamentally wrong behind the scenes. Villa are really struggling at the back and seem a bit lazy in that aspect while West Ham seem to be struggling in all aspects of the game, I expect them to improve soon but for now, I can see this being a very ugly 1-1 draw.

Villa 1-1 West Ham

Wolves vs Newcastle

Odds: Wolves – 17/10 Draw – 23/10 Newcastle – 17/10

My Prediction:

I liked what I saw from Wolves last week, they definitely still need to invest in a clinical striker but the performance was much better and they can start to turn things around. Newcastle had one of the likely games of the season last week against City and they clearly will offer an attacking threat against anyone. That being said, I’m going to take Wolves for what may seem like an upset, they’ve been more solid at the back in the last couple of weeks and they can score against a defence that gave away 3 goals last week.

Wolves 2-0 Newcastle

Back Wolves at 17/10

Notts Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur

Odds: Forest – 6/1 Draw – 18/5 Spurs – 4/9

My Prediction:

This will be a really tough games for Spurs. Forest will be up for this as this is the first big side they’ll play at home this season and I haven’t been convinced by Spurs so far this season. They struggled to create chances last week and if they start the game like they did last week, I can see them getting punished by a Forest side that will be playing with a lot of passion. That being said, Spurs do seem to find a way to get a result so I’m going to go for a draw here.

Forest 1-1 Spurs

Back Forest or draw in the double chance market at 13/8

Results last week:

4/10 correct results 1 correct score

1 win 1 loss 1 void in the 3 bets +1.1 pts

Results so far this season:

13/30 correct results

+4.6 pts betting

Premier League Round 3 Previews and Predictions

Spurs vs Wolves

Odds: Spurs – 2/5 Draw – 4/1 Wolves – 13/2

My Prediction:

Spurs got a late equaliser against Chelsea last time out and while I feel they were very fortunate to draw that game, this looks like an easier assignment for them. Wolves haven’t exactly set the league alight in their first 2 games but I do really like Matheus Nunes as a signing for them, he’ll make their midfield a lot more solid and could be the difference between them being relatively safe and them being in the relegation scrap, unfortunately this is likely a game too early for him to start so I’d imagine Spurs can dominate this game and win 2-0.

Spurs 2-0 Wolves

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Odds: Palace – 6/4 Draw – 9/4 Villa – 19/10

My Prediction:

Palace should win this game, they look better than Villa at the moment but games like these are why I don’t think Palace will finish in the top half. They lack the attacking potency to fully take advantage of a porous Villa defence and Villa do have some decent players going forward with Buendia and Watkins looking in good touch last week, this feels like a 1-1 game where Palace will be more frustrated than Villa that they don’t end up winning.

Palace 1-1 Villa

Draw looks a good bet at 9/4

Everton vs Notts Forest

Odds: Everton – 10/11 Draw – 13/5 Forest – 3/1

My Prediction:

This could potentially be a big game at the bottom of the table for the bigger picture and right now I believe Forest are the slightly more likely winners but I worry about their ability to finish off chances and similar to Palace, I can see them being held to a 1-1 draw in a game they feel like they should’ve won. Everton were fairly poor last week but looked far more lively when Onana came on for them and it will be interesting to see if he can kick on in this game and give Everton some more spark.

Everton 1-1 Forest

Forest Draw no bet at 7/4 looks a good bet

Fulham vs Brentford

Odds: Fulham – 29/20 Draw – 12/5 Brentford – 19/10

My Prediction:

I like Brentford to win this one, they’re a very well drilled side and they should get the opportunity to play on the counter here. Ivan Toney has really improved over the off season and with him currently in top form, Brentford can get the results early on that give them a buffer over the relegation battle. Fulham may live to rue missing a penalty against Wolves in a game they probably feel they should’ve won and this will be a tougher test for them.

Fulham 1-2 Brentford

Leicester vs Southampton

Odds: Leicester – 5/6 Draw – 3/1 Southampton – 3/1

My Prediction:

Leicester did their normal thing of scoring goals but looking woeful at the back against Arsenal while Southampton had a bad start against Leeds before a change of formation and some good substitutions helped them rescue a point against Leeds. Southampton will likely improve if they stick with their formation change but I expect them to be outgunned here by Leicester with James Maddison looking in good form at the moment. I wouldn’t be surprised if Southampton got a result but I’m sticking with Leicester to win here.

Leicester 3-1 Southampton

Bournemouth vs Arsenal

Odds: Bournemouth – 7/1 Draw – 15/4 Arsenal – 2/5

My Prediction:

This could be a similar story to the first game of the season for Arsenal where they get a scrappy 2-0 win. They obviously looked very strong in front of goal last week but I expect them to be the sort of side that scores lots of goals at home but have a tougher time creating chances away from home. That being said, they defended well against a physical side in Palace the other week and with Bournemouth likely to pose a similar test here, they may be quite comfortable at the back and they can get 3 points.

Bournemouth 0-2 Arsenal

Leeds vs Chelsea

Odds: Leeds – 19/4 Draw – 10/3 Chelsea – 11/20

My Prediction:

Leeds are definitely playing better football this season and it was a shame for them that they threw it away last week having played really well for 70 minutes against Southampton, but fatigue and some poor tracking back by their midfield as well as making substitutions too late cost them 3 points. I expect them to lose this one, Chelsea have had a strong record against Leeds since their return to the Premier League and they looked really good last week even if they do still have issues when it comes to converting chances. I can see them keeping a clean sheet here with Bamford likely to be on the bench and they can win 2-0.

Leeds 0-2 Chelsea

West Ham vs Brighton

Odds: West Ham – 13/10 Draw – 12/5 Brighton – 21/10

My Prediction:

If I was going to pick an underdog this week to bet, then Brighton would be that team. They’ve put in 2 really solid performances to start the season against sides West Ham would expect to finish around in the table and West Ham look a bit off at the moment. They were rolled over fairly comfortably by City apart from a decent 10 minutes and against Forest they were shaky at the back and missed a penalty. Something feels wrong there and I can see Brighton taking advantage with a 2-1 win.

West Ham 1-2 Brighton

Brighton at 21/10 is a good bet

Newcastle vs Man City

Odds: Newcastle – 13/2 Draw – 4/1 City – 4/11

My Prediction:

If City steamroll Newcastle here, then that will be a big step towards looking like winning the title comfortably. In theory this should be a really tough game for them, Newcastle have a tough atmosphere, a good team with skilled midfielders and a good manager and are definitely on the upwards trajectory. But I feel that while players like De Bruyne and Rodri stay fit, City can dominate any side in midfield and while I expect Newcastle to give them a test, City can still win this one comfortably enough.

Newcastle 0-2 Man City

Man United vs Liverpool

Odds: United – 17/4 Draw – 10/3 Liverpool – 3/5

My Prediction:

Both sides are slumping at the moment though United’s slump is a bit more epic than Liverpool’s. United look a mess right now and there seems to still be huge unrest in the dressing room and until Ten Haag can make a huge turnover in players and build the team he wants, they will struggle. Liverpool meanwhile are badly missing Konate, Matip and Thiago. They look less solid at the back with Phillips playing and Van Dijk has seemed off touch early in the season, they also don’t have a good enough midfield to play through teams so opponents have stacked the midfield and forced them into playing long balls to smaller wingers and forwards. They will drop points to teams willing to sit deep and counter but I feel United may try to go at them a bit more than they should and they will leave themselves vulnerable to the counter, I also worry about United’s attacking players at the moment as outside of Ronaldo, they don’t seem to have a natural goalscorer and that will likely cost them here.

United 1-3 Liverpool

Results last week:

4/10 correct results 0 correct scores

2/3 bets won +2.5 pts

Results for the season:

9/20 Correct results

+3.5 pts betting

Premier League Predictions – Round 2

Aston Villa vs Everton

Odds: Villa – 4/5 Draw – 5/2 Everton – 15/4

My Prediction:

Villa were dreadful last weekend and deserved to lose against Bournemouth. This suddenly feels like a must win game for them but I worry about this game for them for a couple of reasons. They looked poor going forward at the weekend and struggled against set pieces. Meanwhile, the main threat Everton provided last week came from set pieces so I can see that as being a key route to them scoring. Everton will likely struggle until Calvert-Lewin is back at the minimum due to a lack of other striking options but they can get a 1-1 draw here in a scrappy game.

Villa 1-1 Everton

Arsenal vs Leicester

Odds: Arsenal – 9/20 Draw – 7/2 Leicester – 6/1

My Prediction:

Leicester may have scored twice last week but actually didn’t create many high quality opportunities and they collapsed in defence in the last half hour. I see this being a rough matchup for them given Arsenal look solid at the back and I expect them to be explosive in front of goal at the Emirates. This should be a comfortable win for Arsenal and I expect Jesus to get off the mark for this season here.

Arsenal 3-0 Leicester

Arsenal (-1) handicap at 6/5 looks a good bet

Brighton vs Newcastle

Odds: Brighton – 29/20 Draw – 11/5 Newcastle – 2/1

My Prediction

This is the hardest game of the week for me to pick, both teams looked very good last week and I’m happy about putting both sides in the top half in my preseason predictions. I expect this game to be a high quality one but also a very tight game, Newcastle weren’t tested particularly last week but they did look good while Brighton put on a clinical counter attacking performance. I believe Newcastle have a better overall side but with Brighton being at home, this can be another 1-1 draw.

Brighton 1-1 Newcastle

Man City vs Bournemouth

Odds: Man City – 3/50 Draw – 12/1 Bournemouth – 33/1

My Prediction:

The odds indicate a lopsided win for Man City and it’s hard to argue against it, Bournemouth surprised a lot of people last week including myself with how disciplined they were and they could pick up some useful points throughout the season with their set piece threat. Unfortunately, they’re likely to only see around 20% of possession here so I can’t see them creating the opportunities to utilise that set piece threat and with Haaland and the Man City team in general looking in imperious form, this will likely be a very easy Man City win.

Man City 4-0 Bournemouth

Southampton vs Leeds

Odds: Southampton – 5/4 Draw – 5/2 Leeds – 21/10

My Prediction:

Southampton were battered last week and if they are going to ship goals regularly, this could be a really rough season for them given their lack of attacking power. Meanwhile, I liked Leeds to improve this season and based on early signs, I should be proven right. They played well against Wolves last week and the new signings have definitely added some spark to this team, they created plenty of chances against a normally solid defensive side and I like them to win here given the woes at the back for Southampton last week.

Southampton 1-2 Leeds

Leeds to win at 21/10 is good value

Wolves vs Fulham

Odds: Wolves – 13/10 Draw – 23/10 Fulham – 11/5

My Prediction:

This already feels like a big game for both sides, if Wolves get off to back-to-back defeats against teams expected to be nearer the bottom of the table then they could be in trouble while Fulham will see this as a real opportunity to pick up a win given the way they played last week and the confidence they will have got from it. For me though this will be a draw. Wolves having home advantage should be enough to see them avoid defeat and I doubt Fulham will have as much opportunity to play on the counter as they did last week, this will be a cagey affair and a draw looks the best shout.

Wolves 1-1 Fulham

Draw at 23/10 is good value

Brentford vs Man United

Odds: Brentford – 11/4 Draw – 5/2 United – 1/1

My Prediction:

A lot of people were interested to see how United would start the season and based on what we saw last week, they look no different to the side they were last year. I think they will improve eventually but things will be tough for them at least until after the World Cup. Brentford had a weird game last week, they weren’t great for 60 minutes but by the end of the game they probably will feel a bit hard done by not to have won. That being said, we can use the results of Man United in the second half of last season as a form guide and given they beat Brentford 3-1 away last season and neither team has majorly changed, I’m going to pick them to win here. The price is awful and is definitely not worth betting, but they still have some quality attacking players and they can survive a likely aerial bombardment from Brentford and nick a win.

 Brentford 1-2 Man United

Nottingham Forest vs West Ham

Odds: Forest – 16/5 Draw – 13/5 West Ham – 17/20

My Prediction:

This will probably feel like the first real game of the season for both sides. Forest were played off the park away from home last week but they know that if they are going to survive, they’ll have to get most of their points at home and have a solid home record. West Ham meanwhile got played off the park by Man City, but that will likely happen to all teams outside of the top 5 if City stay fully fit. I’m leaning towards West Ham in this one as Forest will be yet to fully gel still and West Ham quietly have kept most of the players they had last season so will be a more settled side and they have enough attacking talent to score a couple of goals here and pick up 3 points.

Forest 1-2 West Ham

Chelsea vs Tottenham

Odds: Chelsea – 5/4 Draw – 12/5 Spurs – 11/5

My Prediction:

I like Spurs to win this game, Chelsea have been tough to beat in recent times but also haven’t been playing well for a while and even against Everton, they weren’t spectacular by any means. Spurs meanwhile look to be in full swing going forward already and them scoring 4 goals last week without Son or Kane scoring will be very worrying for their rivals. They will have to overcome a bad record against Chelsea but their pace on the counter should be very dangerous against a defence with some aging players and I fancy them to win 3-1.

Chelsea 1-3 Tottenham

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

Odds: Liverpool – 1/5 Draw – 11/2 Palace – 14/1

My Prediction:

I think Liverpool made a huge mistake not starting Nunez last week, they brought him in to help beat the teams that would sit back against them as he offers that physical presence and when he came on he changed the game. I expect him to start here and he will likely be instrumental in what I expect will be a comfortable win for Liverpool. Palace are clearly already missing the creativity of Gallagher and I don’t believe their forwards are good enough for them to compete against the better sides in the league, they’ll be a solid team but matchups like this one will not end well for them in my opinion. This should be a simple win for Liverpool.

Liverpool 3-0 Palace

Results last week:

5/10 correct results, 1 correct score.

1/3 bets won, +1pt profit

Premier League Predictions – Round 1

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Odds: Crystal Palace – 16/5 Draw – 13/5 Arsenal – 17/20

My Prediction:

This will likely be a cagey affair to start the Premier League season with Palace being a side that relies on defensive solidity and Arsenal may also take less risks since they’re away from home. This game finished 3-0 last season to Palace but a lot of that was down to a woeful performance from Tavares for Arsenal who won’t be playing this time and with Gallagher no longer at the club, Palace may struggle to score here. The signings Arsenal have made will give them the extra bit of quality to win a game like this.

Crystal Palace 0-1 Arsenal

Arsenal and under 2.5 goals at 3/1 looks a good bet

Fulham vs Liverpool

Odds: Fulham – 10/1 Draw – 5/1 Liverpool – 1/4

My Prediction:

My concern for Fulham this season is that they may not score enough goals and with Liverpool boasting a full strength defence, I struggle to see them getting anything out of this game. They may be disciplined enough though to keep the score respectable for most of the game but I can see Liverpool scoring a couple of goals late on to put the gloss on an opening day win.

Fulham 0-3 Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Odds: Bournemouth – 11/4 Draw – 5/2 Aston Villa – 1/1

My Prediction:

This should be a good litmus test for how competitive Bournemouth can be this season. Unfortunately for them I don’t think they pass it, they have a couple of injuries in midfield and the defence doesn’t look good enough at the moment. They should be able to create chances against a Villa side that don’t always convince at the back but I imagine they’ll still get blown away by a Premier League quality side. Villa need to have more end product this season given the quality they have going forward and this may be a good chance to build some early momentum for them.

Bournemouth 1-3 Aston Villa

Ollie Watkins to score and Aston Villa to win at 10/3 is a good bet.

Leeds vs Wolves

Odds: Leeds – 5/4 Draw – 12/5 Wolves – 11/5

My Prediction:

This will be another cagey game, Leeds have strengthened in midfield but more in the holding aspect of things than the attacking aspect of things. I am also concerned about how fit Bamford is as well, but Wolves also lack much of a threat going forward so I can see this being a low scoring draw between 2 sides that will finish in a similar position this season.

Leeds 1-1 Wolves

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest

Odds: Newcastle – 4/6 Draw – 14/5 Forest – 17/4

My Prediction:

I like Newcastle to win this one, Forest will take some time to gel and I’m not sure how good some of their signings are anyway for the Premier League. Bundesliga players have struggled to find their feet initially in the Premier League over the last couple of seasons and while I expect Henderson to be a smart pickup, they still may struggle early on this season. Newcastle meanwhile will be back to full strength and given how well they performed at the back end of last season with a few key injuries, they have a lot to be excited about this season and they can have an opening day win here.

Newcastle 2-0 Forest

Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton

Odds: Spurs – 1/3 Draw – 17/4 Southampton – 15/2

My Prediction:

I don’t expect Spurs to be at their very best here but they will do enough to win. Bissouma is their number 1 signing for me this summer and him being injured may hurt things a bit in midfield. That being said, Southampton don’t offer much going forward in my eyes and I’d imagine Spurs can keep a clean sheet here. I can see a comfortable 2-0 win for Spurs to get things going for this season.

Spurs 2-0 Southampton

Everton vs Chelsea

Odds: Everton – 9/2 Draw – 3/1 Chelsea – 3/5

My Prediction:

Chelsea have had a rough preseason in terms of results and it’ll be interesting to see if some of their very recent signings will be fit to start here. Because of that, I can see Everton getting a result here, they may be missing a focal point in attack but they will have a lot of pace about them against some older defenders and I’m not convinced about how many goals Chelsea will score this season, Sterling will help but doesn’t fully solve their attacking problem and I’m going for this game to be a draw.

Everton 1-1 Chelsea

Leicester vs Brentford

Odds: Leicester – 1/1 Draw – 11/4 Brentford – 5/2

My Prediction:

These are 2 teams that aren’t massively different from last season barring the loss of Eriksen from Brentford so the fixture they played in March may be a decent form guide for this game. On that occasion it was 2-1 to Leicester which was a fair result and they had Vardy missing at the time so I fancy Leicester to win again here though I also expect there to be plenty of goals given neither team is fully convincing at the back.

Leicester 3-2 Brentford

Manchester United vs Brighton

Odds: Man United – 3/5 Draw – 16/5 Brighton – 17/4

My Prediction:

This is a tough game to predict, United have fallen back into a similar starting 11 that they had at the end of last season and Brighton did manage to beat them 4-0 back then. But I don’t think either team is in great form right now and though United may be a better side on paper, I wouldn’t be surprised if Brighton could hold them to a draw here in a game that will not be the highest quality.

Man United 1-1 Brighton

West Ham vs Man City

Odds: West Ham – 7/1 Draw – 4/1 Man City – 4/11

My Prediction:

West Ham are a team that I expect to have a good season, but they may get exposed defensively in games like this until Aguerd arrives. Man City can be slow starters in the Premier League but I imagine West Ham will need a couple of goals to stay in this one and while I can see them posing a threat and scoring, City will have too much quality and depth off the bench for them and will take the 3 points.

West Ham 1-3 Man City

Man City to win and BTTS at 2/1 looks a good bet